José Guerra advierte que la economía venezolana sigue sin un plan que garantice estabilidad real (VIDEO)

TL;DR

Venezuelan economist José Guerra warns of economic risks despite a favorable outlook driven by increased oil exports and recent economic announcements.
The behavior of the official dollar and its impact on inflation is a key concern, with the official exchange rate increasing by 23% in January 2026 compared to December 2025.
While the gap between the official and parallel dollar has narrowed, this adjustment does not solve the underlying problem.
The official dollar has increased by 540% from January 2025 to January 2026, creating a high inflationary floor for the current year.
If the Central Bank maintains a monthly devaluation rate above 20%, inflation in 2026 could reach approximately 1,100% due to the compounding effect of exchange rate adjustments.
Selling dollars at increasingly higher prices directly impacts final prices, reducing purchasing power.
Limited foreign currency injections are insufficient without a comprehensive public policy framework.
There is an absence of a coherent fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate plan to sustain stability.
Without a solid plan, salary deterioration will continue, and productive reactivation will be unviable.
Salaries and pensions must increase to boost aggregate demand for industrial reactivation, employment growth, and sustainable economic recovery.

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